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Nigeria's Import Industry, 2023


Taqwa Ghazal
Dec 28, 2023 9:35 PMIn 2023, Nigeria experienced interesting developments in its foreign exchange (FX) market that had wide-reaching impacts on businesses, investors, and the broader economy. Here are 10 key events and changes in Nigeria’s FX landscape:
➡ Adoption of Inflation-Targeting Policy: The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) under the new Governor, Olawale Cardoso, shifted to an inflation-targeting policy, moving away from direct interventionist programs and aiming to clear foreign exchange backlogs estimated at $7 billion owed to banks.
➡ Unified Exchange Rate: Nigeria unified its multiple exchange rates, a move seen as positive for Nigerian assets. However, challenges with low oil revenue and foreign exchange shortages continued to dampen investor sentiment.
➡ Expectation of Forex Inflows: Finance Minister Wale Edun announced expectations of $10 billion in foreign currency inflows to ease liquidity in the FX market. These inflows were anticipated from crude sales by the state oil firm and foreign investment firms.
➡ Central Bank Interventions: The CBN planned to boost liquidity in the Nigerian Foreign Exchange Market through occasional interventions, aiming to reduce these interventions as market liquidity improves.
➡ Decline in Foreign Reserves: Nigeria's foreign exchange reserves decreased by $4.07 billion from the beginning of the year, closing at $33 billion by November 30, 2023. This decline was attributed to clearing backlogs in various sectors, including the aviation sector, and lower foreign exchange inflow from oil exports.
➡ Pressure on the Naira: The depletion of foreign reserves and other factors continued to exert pressure on the Naira, impacting its value in the official market.
➡ Challenges in Meeting OPEC Quota: Nigeria struggled to meet the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) oil production quota, missing the opportunity to benefit from elevated oil prices and boost its external reserves.
➡ Need for Diversification and Reforms: Analysts emphasized the need for diversifying the economy's export base and embarking on currency and fiscal reforms to improve Nigeria's FX position and reduce dependence on oil revenue.
➡ Influence of Global Economic Conditions: Global economic conditions, including rising inflation and interest rates, particularly in the European Union and the United States, impacted Nigeria's economic situation and its FX market.
➡ Potential for Increased Investment and Economic Diversification: Despite challenges, the reforms and anticipated inflows suggested the potential for increased foreign investment and steps towards economic diversification in Nigeria
🔍 As we navigate these changes, our company remains committed to providing innovative and reliable cross-border payment solutions.